4-Week Bill Auction

8-Week Bill Auction

Atlanta Fed GDPNow

Atlanta Fed GDPNow is a real-time model from the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta that provides a “nowcast” of US real GDP growth for the current quarter before the official estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The model estimates 13 GDP subcomponents: personal consumption expenditures; private fixed investment; change in private inventories; exports; imports; federal government consumption and investment; and state and local government consumption and investment, with several categories further broken down into underlying components. GDPNow is updated as new economic data are released, typically six or seven times a month, and produces a data-driven estimate with no subjective adjustments. It is not an official forecast of the Atlanta Fed or the Federal Reserve.

EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change

Natural Gas Stocks Change refers to the weekly change of the natural gas supply situation.

ECB Press Conference

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

ECB Interest Rate Decision

2.65%

In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term. In times of prolonged low inflation and low interest rates, ECB may also adopt non-standard monetary policy measures, such as asset purchase programmes. The official interest rate is the Main refinancing operations rate.

Deposit Facility Rate

2.5%

The deposit facility, as a standing facility, aims to absorb overnight liquidity, signal the general stance of monetary policy and normally provides a floor for the overnight market interest rate. The deposit facility is used at overnight deposits with the national central banks.

Marginal Lending Rate

2.9%

In the Euro Area, the marginal lending facility aims to provide overnight liquidity, signal the general stance of monetary policy and normally provides a ceiling for the overnight market interest rate. This facility is available to eligible counterparties on their own initiative, subject to their fulfilment of certain operational access conditions. Counterparties can use the marginal lending facility to obtain overnight liquidity from the national central banks against eligible assets. Under normal circumstances, there are no credit limits or other restrictions on counterparties' access to the facility, apart from the requirement to present sufficient underlying assets. The marginal lending facility is administered in a decentralised manner by the national central banks.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv

2.2%

On the expenditure side, personal consumption expenditures accounts for 68 percent of total GDP out of which purchases of goods constitute 23 percent and services 45 percent. Private investment accounts for 16 percent of GDP and government consumption and investment for 18 percent. As the value of goods exported (13.5 percent) is lower than the value of goods imported (16.5 percent), net exports subtracts 3 percent from the total GDP value.

Initial Jobless Claims

Initial jobless claims refer to the number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits with their state's unemployment agency for the first time during a specific reporting period, typically on a weekly basis. .

Real Personal Spending MoM

0.6%

Real Consumer Spending QoQ Adv

3.8%

In the United States, personal consumption expenditure (PCE) is the primary measure of consumer spending in the U.S. economy. It is the National Income and Product Account (NIPA) final-demand component that measures the value of the goods and services purchased by, or on the behalf of, persons who reside in the United States.

PCE Prices QoQ Adv

5%

The Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Prices measure the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption. Prices are weighted according to total expenditure per item.

GDP Sales QoQ Adv

2.8%

In the United States, final sales of domestic product equals GDP less change in private inventories. It is also equal to the sum of personal consumption expenditures, gross private fixed investment, government consumption expenditures and gross investment, and net exports of goods and services.

Core PCE Prices QoQ Adv

3.3%

Continuing Jobless Claims

Continuing Jobless Claims refer to actual number of unemployed and currently receiving unemployment benefits who filed for unemployment benefits at least two weeks ago.

Jobless Claims 4-week Average

PCE Price Index MoM

0.3%

In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).

GDP Price Index QoQ Adv

6.1%

The GDP Deflator measures the change in prices of final goods and services and it is considered as a key indicator for inflationary pressures, that provides insight into the future direction of monetary policy.

Core PCE Price Index YoY

3%

In the United States, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid by people for domestic purchases of goods and services, excluding the prices of food and energy. The core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure. The central bank has a 2 percent target.

Personal Spending MoM

0.9%

Personal consumption expenditures (PCE) is the primary measure of consumer spending on goods and services in the U.S. economy. 1 It accounts for about two-thirds of domestic final spending, and thus it is the primary engine that drives future economic growth. PCE shows how much of the income earned by households is being spent on current consumption as opposed to how much is being saved for future consumption. PCE also provides a comprehensive measure of types of goods and services that are purchased by households. Thus, for example, it shows the portion of spending that is accounted for by discretionary items, such as motor vehicles, or the adjustments that consumers make to changes in prices, such as a sharp run-up in gasoline prices.

Personal Income MoM

0.2%

Personal Income refers to the income that persons receive in return for their provision of labor, land, and capital used in current production, plus current transfer receipts less contributions for government social insurance.

Core PCE Price Index MoM

0.2%

PCE Price Index YoY

3.4%

In the United States, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index provides a measure of the prices paid for domestic purchases of goods and services. While the Consumer Price Index assumes a fixed basket of goods and uses expenditure weights that do not change over time for several years, the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index uses a chain index and resorts on expenditure data from the current period and the preceding period (known as Fisher Price Index).

Average Weekly Earnings YoY

3.2%

In Canada, average weekly earnings (including overtime) refers to the gross taxable payroll (including overtime) divided by the number of employees. It is calculated for all types of employees. In general, changes in weekly earnings reflect a number of factors, including wage growth; changes in the composition of employment by industry, occupation and level of job experience; and average hours worked per week.

Bank Lending MoM

0.5%

Loan Growth in Brazil refers to the monthly change in total credit outstanding, including public and private lending.

Unemployment Rate

5.7%

In Portugal, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

IGP-M Inflation MoM

1.57%

The IGP-M (General Price Index - Market) is a key Brazilian inflation index calculated monthly by the Fundação Getúlio Vargas (FGV) to measure price changes in goods and services. Often called the "rental inflation" index, it is commonly used to adjust rent contracts, public utility tariffs (energy/telecommunications), and financial instruments, due to its heavy weighting on wholesale prices.

Consumer Confidence

91.2

In Italy, the Confidence Climate Index covers 2,000 Italian consumers. The survey is done by phone and assesses households’ economic conditions, employment and saving prospects and expected purchases of durable goods. The consumer confidence index is adjusted for seasonal effects and fixed to a base year of 2005. The value 100 indicates no evolution in consumer sentiment, a value over 100 shows increasing confidence and a value under 100 indicates low expectations.

Business Confidence

-1.6

In Spain, the Industrial Confidence Indicator (ICI) measures the level of optimism of entrepreneurs for the future development of industrial activity. The ICI is conducted based on the sample of 2500 enterprises representing different sizes, regions and sectors of Spanish economy. The response rate is around 60 percent. ICI is measured on a scale of -100 (extreme lack of confidence) to +100 (extreme confidence).

Wage Growth YoY

3.7%

In Cyprus, Wage Growth measures the year-on-year change in average monthly earnings of employees.

Business Confidence

91.9

In Italy, the Manufacturing Confidence Index covers 4,000 Italian companies. The questionnaire focuses on the current trend of order books, production and inventories, short-term forecasts on order books, production, prices and the general economic situation. The business confidence index is adjusted for seasonal effects and fixed to a base year of 2005. The value 100 indicates no evolution in business sentiment, a value over 100 shows increasing confidence and a value under 100 indicates low expectations.

Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY Prel

The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is an indicator of inflation and price stability for the European Central Bank (ECB). The HICP is compiled by Eurostat and the national statistical institutes in accordance with harmonised statistical methods. The ECB aims to maintain annual inflation rates as measured by the HICP below, but close to, 2% over the medium term.

Inflation Rate MoM

0.39%

Inflation Rate MoM measures month over month change in the price of goods and services.

Inflation Rate YoY

4.69%

In Belgium, the most important category in the consumer price index is Housing and Utilities (18 percent of total weight). Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages account for 17 percent; Transport for 16 percent; Recreation and Culture for 9 percent; Miscellaneous Goods and Services for 9 percent and Restaurants and Hotels for 8 percent. Furniture, Household Goods and Maintenance; Clothing and Footwear; Communication; Health; Alcoholic Beverages and Tobacco and Education account for the remaining 23 percent of total weight.

RFGB ORI Auction

BTP Auction

Selling Price Expectations

20.3

Consumer Confidence Final

-16.5

In Euro Area, the Consumer Economic Sentiment Indicator measures the level of optimism that consumers have about the economy. The survey is made by phone and covers 23 000 households in the Euro Area. The number of households sample varies across the zone. The questions focus on current economic and financial situation, savings intention as well as on expected developments regarding: consumer price indexes, general economic situation and major purchases of durable goods. The Consumer ESI measures consumer confidence on a scale of -100 to 100, where -100 indicate extreme lack of confidence, 0 neutrality and 100 extreme confidence.

Industrial Sentiment

-3.8

In the Euro Area, Industrial Sentiment measures the confidence level among manufacturers and accounts for 40 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Services Sentiment

6.1

In the Euro Area, Services Sentiment measures the confidence level among service providers and accounts for 30 percent of the Economic Sentiment Indicator.

Economic Sentiment

97.9

In the Euro Area, the Economic sentiment indicator is a composite measure (average=100) that calculates the confidence level among: manufacturers (40 percent of the index); service providers (30 percent); consumers (20 percent); retailers (5 percent) and constructors (5 percent).

Industrial Production YoY

1.5%

In Cyprus, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 72 percent of total production. The biggest segments within Manufacturing are: food products (32 percent of total production); other non-metallic mineral products (7 percent); basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations (6 percent); and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment (5 percent). Mining and quarrying, and electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply account for 20 percent of total output; and water supply, sewerage, waste management and remediation activities account for the remaining 8 percent.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Adv

0%

In Belgium, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 52 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (25 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 84 percent of GDP while imports account for 83 percent, adding 1 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Adv

0.5%

In Belgium, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 52 percent of its total use, followed by government expenditure (25 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 84 percent of GDP while imports account for 83 percent, adding 1 percent of total GDP.

10-Year Bond Auction

5.36%

Generally, a government bond is issued by a national government and is denominated in the country`s own currency. Bonds issued by national governments in foreign currencies are normally referred to as sovereign bonds. The yield required by investors to loan funds to governments reflects inflation expectations and the likelihood that the debt will be repaid.

3-Year Bond Auction

5.6%

5-Year Bond Auction

5.49%

Business Confidence

2.8

In Portugal, the National Statistics Institute (INE) economic climate indicator on three terms moving averages is calculated in order to receive a timely composite indicator for the several sectors of economic activity. It is estimated using balances of questions from the Manufacturing Industry (1179 companies), Trade (1102 companies), Construction and Public Works (822 companies) and Services (1427 companies) surveys. The calculation is based on the factor analysis and the estimated series (the common component) is calibrated using the GDP change rates. The use of moving averages smooths out the series by removing the irregular movements, allowing the detection of the short-term trends.

Net Lending to Individuals MoM

6874000000

In the United Kingdom, Net Lending to Individuals (MoM) measures the monthly change in total sterling net lending to individuals and housing associations, excluding lending by the Student Loans Company.

PPI MoM

-0.4%

In South Africa, the Producer Price Inflation MoM measures a month-over-month change in the price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market.

PPI YoY

5%

In South Africa, Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

M4 Money Supply MoM

0.4%

In the United Kingdom, M4 comprises notes and coin in circulation with the public, together with all sterling deposits (including certificates of deposits) held with UK banks and building societies by the rest of the private sector.

Mortgage Lending

4410000000

In the UK, mortgage lending refers to monthly changes of total sterling net secured lending to individuals and housing associations.

Mortgage Approvals

54920

Mortgage approvals for house purchase refers to the firm offers of lenders to advance credit secured on specific dwellings to their customers. It covers approvals that are fully secured on residential property by a first mortgage. It includes existing borrowers transferring their existing mortgage to another property, lending to first-time purchasers and lending for buy-to-let purposes.

BoE Consumer Credit

2464000000

Consumer credit (excluding student loans) is defined as borrowing by UK individuals to finance current expenditure on goods and/or services excluding loans issued by the Student Loans Company. Consumer credit (excluding student loans) is split into two components; credit card lending and ‘other’ lending (mainly overdrafts and other loans/advances).

Consumer Confidence

-20.6

In Portugal, the consumer confidence index on three terms moving averages is based on interviews with consumers about their perceptions of the country's current and future economic situation and their tendencies to purchase. It is estimated using the difference between the share of positive evaluation responses and negative evaluation responses, but do not include the share of neutral responses. The use of moving averages smooths out the series by removing the irregular movements, allowing the detection of the short-term trends.

Unemployment Rate

6.2%

In Italy, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.

Conventional/Index-linked Gilt Tender

Business Confidence

109.3

In Sweden, the confidence indicator for the business sector is intended to provide a quick qualitative indication of actual outcomes, current situation and future expectations of Swedish companies. The variables in the survey include new orders, output, and employment. The survey covers 6,000 firms in the business sector.

Consumer Confidence

102.2

In Sweden, the Consumer Confidence indicator is based on a survey of 1500 households that are interviewed each month. The questions cover consumers’ assessment of their personal finances and the Swedish economy, expectations for interest rates and inflation, and plans for major purchases and savings.

Retail Sales YoY

-0.4%

In Spain, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Retail Sales MoM

0.3%

In Spain, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Spain, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Economic Tendency Indicator

107.1

In Sweden, the Economic Tendency Indicator aims to measure current sentiment in the Swedish economy. This indicator is based on the information contained in the confidence indicators for the manufacturing industry, the service sector, the building and civil engineering industry, the retail trade, and consumers. The different sectors have been weighted to reflect their impact on economic activity best: manufacturing 40 percent, services 30 percent, construction 5 percent, retail 5 percent, and consumers 20 percent. The EU uses the same weights to calculate the ESI.

PPI YoY

4.8%

Producer prices change refers to year over year change in price of goods and services sold by manufacturers and producers in the wholesale market during a given period.

Balance of Trade

-481000000

Hungary's main exports are machinery and transport equipment, consumer goods, agricultural products, chemicals, apparel, textiles, iron and steel, and wine. Hungary's major imports are machinery and equipment, other manufactures and fuels and electricity. European Union is by far its largest trading partner, accounting for about 79% of exports and 76% of imports.

Retail Sales YoY

6.9%

In Sweden, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

GDP Growth Rate QoQ Flash

1.6%

On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of Swedish GDP and accounts for 46 percent of its total use, followed by government consumption (26 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 45 percent of GDP while imports account for 41 percent, adding 4 percent of total GDP.

GDP Growth Rate YoY Flash

3.3%

Sweden has an economy heavily oriented toward foreign trade with timber, hydro-power, and iron ore constituting its resource base. Engineering sector accounts for about 50 percent of output and exports. On the expenditure side, household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 46 percent of its total use, followed by government consumption (26 percent) and gross fixed capital formation (23 percent). Exports of goods and services account for 45 percent of GDP while imports account for 41 percent, adding 4 percent of total GDP.

GDP MoM

1.1%

In Sweden, the GDP indicator provides an early picture of the development of the gross domestic product, GDP. It is compiled on a monthly and quarterly basis with more limited and preliminary statistics than the regular quarterly national accounts.

Retail Sales MoM

0.8%

In Sweden, the Retail sales report provides an aggregated measure of sales of retail goods and services over a specific time period. In Sweden, Retail sales are seasonal, volatile and relatively important to the overall economy.

Private Sector Credit YoY

7.47%

Private sector credit measures year over year change in the bank lending to domestic private sector.

M3 Money Supply YoY

8.89%

South Africa Money Supply M3 includes M2 plus long-term time deposits in banks.

Business Confidence

4.2

In Netherlands, the producer confidence survey covers 1,700 manufacturing companies and gathers up-to-date information on economic developments for all activities of the manufacturing industry. The survey covers three components: how companies evaluate their order positions, their stocks of finished products in the month under review and the anticipated economic activity for the next three months. The index is calculated as the percentage of positive answers minus the percentage of negative answers. Therefore, the indicator varies from -100 (all participants evaluate their situation as poor and expect it to become worse) to 100 (all companies are happy with current situation and expect it to improve); 0 indicates neutrality.

Consumer Confidence

35.4

In Japan, the Monthly Consumer Confidence survey data is collected by direct visit and covers about 4,700 households consisting of more than two persons. The questionnaire covers four subjects: consumer perceptions of overall livelihood, income growth, employment and willingness to buy durable goods. For each subject an index based on the respondents’ evaluation of what they consider the prospects to be over the next six months is created. The Consumer Confidence Index is the simple average of the four consumer perception indexes. A score above 50 indicates optimism, below 50 shows lack of confidence and 50 indicates neutrality.

2-Year JGB Auction

1.964%

3-Month Bill Auction

Import Prices YoY

15.6%

In Singapore, the Import Price Index (IPI) tracks changes in the monthly prices of imported goods. The IPI is also used as price deflators to estimate the volume of international trade and to compile constant price National Accounts estimates.

Export Prices YoY

15.2%

In Singapore, the Export Price Index (EPI) tracks changes in the monthly prices of exported goods. The EPI is also used as price deflators to estimate the volume of international trade and to compile constant price National Accounts estimates.

PPI YoY

38.8%

In Singapore, Domestic Supply Price Index measures the change in prices of imported and locally manufactured product retained for use in the economy.

Export Prices QoQ

1.1%

In Australia, Export Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services sold by residents of that country to foreign buyers. Export Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Import Prices QoQ

5.7%

In Australia, Import Prices correspond to the rate of change in the prices of goods and services purchased by residents of that country from, and supplied by, foreign sellers. Import Prices are heavily affected by exchange rates.

Car Production YoY

Republic Day

ANZ Business Confidence

51.9

In New Zealand, the business confidence index is designed to provide a snapshot of business opinions regarding the expected future state of their business and economy overall. The survey covers around 700 respondents. The Net index is calculated by subtracting the percentage number of businesses that expect that the economic situation improves from the number that expect decline.

Communist Party Fifth Plenum

Stock Investment by Foreigners

Foreign Investments in Japanese Stocks refers to the net difference between inflow and outflow of investments in Japanese stock market by foreigners.

Foreign Bond Investment

The net data shows the difference between acquisition and disposition of long-term debt securities: a plus sign indicates net purchases of foreign securities by Japanese investors; a minus sign indicates net selling and inflows of funds into Japan. It excludes Bank of Japan.

Business Confidence

79

In South Korea, the Business Survey Index (BSI) in the manufacturing sector measures the level of optimism that business leaders have about the performance of the economy in the current month and their outlook for the following month. The Index is based on the survey of around 2800 companies in fifteen areas including sales, inventories, production facilities, prices, labor force and profitability. For each of the indicators measured, the net difference between the number of positive responses and the number of negative responses is computed. The BSI above 100 indicates an improving outlook and below 100 a deteriorating outlook.

Fed Press Conference

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

Fed Interest Rate Decision

4%

In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks. The FOMC decides on open market operations, including the desired levels of central bank money or the desired federal funds market rate.

2-Year FRN Auction

0.04%

Industrial Production YoY

-0.6%

In Russia, industrial production measures the output of businesses integrated in industrial sector of the economy. Manufacturing is the most important sector and accounts for 55 percent of total production. The biggest segments within manufacturing are: metallurgy (9.6 percent); coke and refined petroleum products (9.5 percent); food beverages and tobacco (8.4 percent); chemicals (4 percent); machinery and equipment (3.8 percent); transport (3.7 percent) and electrical equipment (3.4 percent). Mining and quarrying accounts for 35 percent, and natural gas and crude oil exploration represents 29 percent of total output. Also, electricity, gas and water supply accounts for 11 percent.

Retail Sales YoY

3.3%

In Russia, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.

Real Wage Growth YoY

3.3%

In Russia, Real Wage Growth measures the year-on-year change in average monthly wages adjusted for inflation.

Corporate Profits

13000000000000

Corporate Profits in Russia is balanced financial result (profit minus loss) of organizations, excluding small businesses, banks, insurance companies and budgetary institutions. Corporate Profits is cumulative value.

Business Confidence

-0.5

In Russia, the business confidence index measures morale among manufacturers. The index is calculated as the arithmetic average balances of assessments of actually existing levels of demand, stocks of finished products (with opposite sign) as well as change in output expected in the next 3 months. The index shows the difference between the percentage share of executives that are optimistic and the percentage of that is pessimistic. The index takes a value between -100 (all responding entities asses their situation as poor and expect it to become worse) up to 100 (all participants are satisfied with the current situation and expect it to improve); 0 indicates neutrality.

Unemployment Rate

2.2%

In Russia, the unemployment rate measures the number of people actively looking for a job as a percentage of the labour force.